SalamunAlaykum
Benar kata pepatah Melayu, Kera dalam Hutan Disusukan Tetapi Anak Dirumah Mati Kelaparan.
Kalau mengikut statistik yang diperkatakan olih Global Economy Reviews diambil kira serta pandangan mereka terhadap Eurozone,ternyata, 'pelaburan' KWSP atau Syarikat Malaysia yang dibuat dibumi England, nampaknya, tidak seperti yang dijangka. Kemungkinan 'forecast' yang dibuat tidak mengambil kira 'kemurungan ekonomi' disebelah Europe tidak di'highlight' semasa 'pembentangan'.
Kemurungan ekonomi serta ketidak tentuan ekonomi global bakal 'mentertawakan' tindakan KWSP dan sekutunya didalam 'pelaburan' yang nampaknya seakan 'terlebur', sekiranya tidak dibuat secara berhemah dan telus.
Global Economy Reviews
02.07.2013 23:35 World Economy Review - June 2013
The World Bank cut its forecasts for this year, citing a deeper than expected recession in Europe and a slowdown in China and India. Renewing fears about growth, it said the global economy was likely to grow by 2.2% this year, a downgrade from its January forecast of 2.4%.
The downbeat forecasts helped to drive a wave of selling in Japan, where the Nikkei index tumbled 6.35% amid fears that central bank stimulus measures – led by the US – might be withdrawn. The World Bank also cut its forecast for growth in 2014 to 3.1% from 3%, but maintained its prediction that global GDP would increase by 3.3% in 2015.
"While there are markers of hope in the financial sector, the slowdown in the real economy is turning out to be unusually protracted," said Kaushik Basu, senior vice-president and chief economist at the bank. "This is reflected in the stubbornly high unemployment in industrialized nations, with unemployment in the eurozone actually rising, and in the slowing growth in emerging economies."
Michael Hewson, senior market analyst at CMC Markets UK, a financial spread-betting company, said: "European markets have plunged on the open in the wake of the 6.35% decline in the Nikkei overnight as investors continue to worry about the longevity of central bank stimulus measures, while another global growth downgrade from a global organization, this time the World Bank, has prompted investors to question current stock market valuations."
The bank is now predicting the eurozone economy will shrink by 0.6% this year, compared with an earlier forecast of a 0.1% decline in GDP. The currency bloc`s economy is then expected to grow by 0.9% in 2014 and 1.5% in 2015.
The World Bank highlighted slowing growth in China, as authorities there seek to rebalance the economy, and said India`s annual growth had dropped below 6% for the first time in 10 years. It said there was concern that the US might begin to ease its support of the world`s largest economy by withdrawing quantitative easing, or the use of central bank cash to buy up sovereign debt in the hope that financial institutions will reinvest the windfall in the wider economy.
The bank added that austerity programs, high unemployment, and weak consumer and business confidence would continue to impede growth in higher-income countries.
It downgraded its forecasts for developing countries` GDP to 5.1% this year from an earlier forecast of 5.5%. Growth in 2014 and 2015 is expected to be 5.6% and 5.7% respectively.
Euro area annual inflation is expected to be 1.6% in June 2013, up from 1.4% in May, according to a flash estimate from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. Looking at the main components of euro area inflation, food, alcohol & tobacco is expected to have the highest annual rate in June (3.2%, stable compared with May), followed by energy (1.6% compared with -0.2% in May), services (1.4% compared with 1.5% in May) and non-energy industrial goods (0.7% compared with 0.8% in May).
The euro area (EA17) seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate was 12.2% in May 2013, up from 12.1% in April. The EU27 unemployment rate was 11.0%, stable compared with the previous month. In both zones, rates have risen markedly compared with May 2012, when they were 11.3% and 10.4% respectively. These figures are published by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union.
Eurostat estimates that 26.522 million men and women in the EU27, of whom 19.340 million were in the euro area, were unemployed in May 2013. Compared with April 2013, the number of persons unemployed increased by 15 000 in the EU27 and by 67 000 in the euro area. Compared with May 2012, unemployment rose by 1.438 million in the EU27 and by 1.459 million in the euro area.
Ikhlas dari :- Cahaya Al Majid
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